ORB and NQ

The two strongest of the three: the Asia opening range on gold, and the pre-New-York range faded in New York. Different instruments, different sessions, twelve hours apart. This page pools just those two.

%

Every percentage here is R × risk. R values, win rate and profit factor do not move.

01The two

ORB AsiaNQ range fadeTogether
Trades75119194
Win rate52.0%61.5%57.8%
Median RR2.001.241.68
Average RR2.001.161.48
Per trade+0.582 R+0.234 R+0.369 R
Total+43.6 R+27.9 R+71.5 R
Total, % of the account+109.0%+69.7%+178.7%
Profit factor2.401.702.01
Worst drawdown6.2 R7.8 R8.1 R
Worst losing run646
Best winning run6108
t-statistic+3.51+2.60+4.32

Bold marks the best of the two on each line. The last column is every trade pooled in date order, one unit of risk each.

02Pooled

Trades
194
21.6 a month
Win rate
57.8%
111 W ยท 81 L
Per trade
+0.369 R
+0.92% of the account
Total
+71.5 R
+178.7% at 2.5% risk
Worst drawdown
8.1 R
-20.4% at 2.5% risk
Worst losing run
6
across both
Cumulative returnCumulative return, ending at +179% at 2.5% risk.0%25%50%75%100%125%150%175% +179%
All 194 trades in date order, one unit of risk each.

03Month by month

MonthORB AsiaNQ range fadeTotalAt 2.5%
Jan+8.36 R+5.64 R+14.00 R+35.0%
Feb+3.57 R+8.06 R+11.63 R+29.1%
Mar+9.61 R+1.14 R+10.75 R+26.9%
Apr+5.65 R+1.71 R+7.36 R+18.4%
May+3.64 R+6.63 R+10.28 R+25.7%
Jun+3.43 R+5.19 R+8.62 R+21.6%
Jul+8.04 R-4.82 R+3.22 R+8.1%
Aug+5.38 R+4.47 R+9.85 R+24.6%
Sep-4.07 R-0.14 R-4.21 R-10.5%
Total+43.6 R+27.9 R+71.5 R+178.7%

04Do they move together?

Correlation of monthly R. Near zero means a bad month in one says nothing about the others.

PairCorrelation
ORB Asia vs NQ range fade-0.08

05Trades on the same day

They can fire on the same day, and a prop firm's daily loss limit counts the day, not the trade.

Trades in a dayHow often
1100 days
247 days

The worst single day across both was -2.09 R โ€” -5.24% at 2.5% risk. A 3% daily limit is breached by two full losses at 2.5% risk, so position size has to be set for the number of strategies running, not for one of them.

06What this does not show